Foreign Policy

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No End in Sight: Why in the Current Situation There Is Little Hope For Syria

Already roughly a fifth of Syrians have fled the country seeking refuge, with many millions more trapped within the country in need of urgent aid. TCF fellow Morton Abramowitz talks the ever-growing conflict in Syria.

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Tags: syrian war, syrian crisis, isis, assad

Managing the War in Yemen: Diplomatic Opportunities in the Mayhem

The civil war in Yemen is on the brink of becoming the next Syria. With the UN announcing talks this week in Geneva, TCF fellow Thanassis Cambanis says the next few months provide a narrow window to prioritize diplomacy over military action.

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The Aftermath of Turkey’s Elections: The Curse of d’Hondt

During the Turkish elections last Sunday, Turkey’s ruling party, AKP, lost its majority after more than a decade in power—causing upset to President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s ambitions to usher Turkey toward a presidential system and establish himself as the undisputed leader.

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Thanassis Cambanis on Egypt’s Unfinished Revolution

Earlier this year, TCF fellow Thanassis Cambanis published Once Upon a Revolution: An Egyptian Storya book following two revolutionary leaders before, during, and after the 2011 Egyptian Revolution. Recently, Cambanis sat down with Cicero for a wide-ranging interview on his book and Egypt's path since the revolution.

I believe this story contains much of the potential for transformative change, a change sadly still unrealized in Egypt. We have witnessed remarkable transformations at the individual level, however, and I expect that many of these activists and thinkers will play a role in Egyptian life and politics for decades to come.

The full interview is available here.

Tags: thanassis cambanis, foreign policy, egyptian revolutionaries, egyptian revolution, egyptian government

Egypt’s Sisi Is Getting Pretty Good…at Being a Dictator

TCF fellow Thanassis Cambanis writes that Egyptian president al-Sisi is on the verge of acting like a dictator given his recent actions. The recent terrorist attacks and broken economy have left al-Sisi grasping for ways to assert and maintain his power, which has resulted in some heavy-handed tactics.

Today’s governing agenda in Egypt centers around three things: a crackdown on “terror” and dissent, maintaining a steady flow of cash from the Sunni monarchies of the Gulf, and modest economic reforms that at a minimum give the impression of vision and positive momentum.

Read the full version of Cambanis's article.

Tags: terrorism, egyptian uprisings, al-sisi

Lebanon’s ‘Democracy of the Gun’

Ain el Hilweh, a Palestinian refugee camp located in Lebanon, has long been plagued by deadly feuds between rival factions inside. For the first time, however, these groups—once bitter rivals—have been experiencing a rare moment of unity in recent months. TCF fellow Thanassis Cambanis describes why the shared threat of the Islamic State has brought about newfound cooperation inside the camp.

It was the Islamic State’s infiltration of the Palestinian camp of Yarmouk in Damascus that motivated the dithering Palestinian factions to unite last summer. At the time, the already unraveling region was experiencing extra strain: The Islamic State had seized much of northern Iraq and declared a caliphate, and had seized control of some entrances to Yarmouk and assassinated Palestinian operatives, according to Baraka. Senior officials from Fatah, Hamas, and the Lebanese government quickly agreed that if the Islamic State could win followers in Yarmouk, it could easily do the same in Lebanese camps.

See Cambanis's full report in FP.

Tags: refugees, palestinian, lebanon, islamic state of iraq and syria

 

Foreign Policy

Foreign Policy

In the first years of the new century, an assertive foreign policy took a toll on the cultivated role of the U.S. as a responsible global leader. The Century Foundation's work in this area provides perspective on the international difficulties the U.S. is facing today, while providing policy recommendations to promote the nation's security interests. Our research and analysis focuses on effectively responding to challenges in the Middle East and Pakistan, as well as responding to international crime.

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