The United States has adopted a cautious and often unclear policy in reaction to the past year’s tumultuous events in Egypt. This stance is due to the complicated nature of Egypt’s ongoing political transition and the shifting nature of regional power dynamics in the Middle East. President Barack Obama and his administration have understood that the key centers of power inside of the country and the regional actors that attempt to support and shape trends in the country are driving the events on the ground.READ MORE
"Syria has become Turkish prime minister Erdogan’s albatross. It also continues to undermine American-Turkish relations," write TCF senior fellow Morton Abramowitz and research associate Omer Zarpli. Read the full piece at National Interest.
Amidst the battlefield that is Cairo, Egypt, tensions surge between the pro-military, nationalists promoted by new leadership, and the Muslim Brotherhood. Senior fellow and foreign policy expert Michael Hanna provides some context in The Washington Post here.
"'It is a cycle of violence at the moment from which there is no way out in the near term,' said Michael W. Hanna, a Middle East expert from New York's Century Foundation. 'Where Egypt is now is where Egypt will be for a long time,' he said."
“The Arab uprisings cracked open the door to new ideas for how a modern Arab nation should govern itself—how it could rebalance authority and freedom, religious tradition and civil rights. But a key source of those new ideas is almost completely shut off,” writes Century Fellow Thanassis Cambanis. And while universities and think tanks in the Arab world are tightly controlled, a new international group is working to fill the void. Read the full article in the Boston Globe.
TCF senior fellow Michael Hanna quoted in The Week on Egypt's escalated campaign against the Muslim Brotherhood. A court banned on Monday all of the Islamist organization's activities, including social programs like health clinics and schools. Hanna tells The Week, "A ban represents a blunt approach in which there is no space for the Brotherhood in political and social life."
Senior fellow Morton Abramowitz discusses in length the Syrian refugee problem at the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. Here is a sample from his compelling piece:
"The United Nations says that more than 2 million refugees are in neighboring countries. The real numbers are higher, as many Syrians have fled to neighboring countries without registering with the United Nations. Many refugees remain outside of camps in those countries. Sizable numbers are huddled along the borders of Turkey and Jordan waiting to enter. Worse, no one knows how long the present 2 million will remain refugees, even as the costs of maintaining them rise exponentially."
In the first years of the new century, an assertive foreign policy took a toll on the cultivated role of the U.S. as a responsible global leader. The Century Foundation's work in this area provides perspective on the international difficulties the U.S. is facing today, while providing policy recommendations to promote the nation's security interests. Our research and analysis focuses on effectively responding to challenges in the Middle East and Pakistan, as well as responding to international crime.
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